| Hubs 
        increase Net riskBy 
      Kimberly Patch, 
      Technology Research News
 The Internet has much in common with air 
        travel, according to researchers from Ohio State University. This does 
        not bode well, considering how disruptive storms can be to the airlines.
 
 The commercial Internet has shifted from its original distributed structure 
        toward a hub-and-spoke topology similar to those the airlines use to plot 
        routes, and that shift has made the network more vulnerable, said Tony 
        Grubesic, an Ohio State researcher who is now an assistant professor of 
        geography at the University of Cincinnati.
 
 A handful of cities, including Los Angeles, New York City, Atlanta, Dallas 
        and Chicago, have become central to the Internet and have many more backbone 
        connections than other locations, said Grubesic. These cities are "in 
        effect, acting as hub cities," he said. Chicago, for example, had 23 direct 
        connections to other cities on the AT&T network in the year 2000, versus 
        three for Salt Lake City.
 
 Although the hub-and-spoke topology is cheaper to build, hubs make the 
        network more vulnerable to attack in the same way bad weather in a major 
        hub city can affect flights all over the country, said Grubesic. "Where 
        Internet survivability is concerned, this type of network topology is 
        not a particularly effective one because it forces large volumes of traffic 
        through a handful of cities," he said. "If one of the major points of 
        presence in a city should fail, [for example] the metropolitan area exchange 
        in Dallas, traffic would be disrupted nationwide."
 
 The original topology of the Internet was more distributed, and was designed 
        to withstand failure and provide service under adverse conditions - even 
        a nuclear attack.
 
 As the Internet has grown, however, the competitive nature of the Internet 
        backbone provider industry has caused many providers to shift to the more 
        vulnerable hub-and-spoke system in search of the most economically efficient 
        network topology, according to Grubesic.
 
 The researchers' analysis showed the overall vulnerability of the hub-and-spoke 
        system for 41 network backbone providers. The most susceptible networks 
        have the greatest reliance on hub-and-spoke configurations. The networks 
        most susceptible to disconnection are AT&T, GTE, and Multacom, which would 
        suffer significant performance hits and leave many smaller spoke cities 
        without service with the loss of any one of eight, seven or six of the 
        14 largest hubs, respectively, according to the analysis.
 
 In contrast, there are 11 network providers that use network topologies 
        that resemble a mesh rather than a hub and spokes; these providers are 
        robust enough to survive the loss of any of the largest hubs. These mesh-like 
        topologies are more expensive to construct, but clearly have advantages 
        where survivability is concerned, according to Grubesic.
 
 To carry out the study, the researchers integrated information about a 
        large set of Internet backbone networks into a geographic information 
        system. "This allowed us to simulate a wide range of Internet disruptions 
        and failures [and] examine... the topological and spatial impacts simultaneously," 
        said Grubesic.
 
 The researchers simulated what would happen if there were a catastrophic 
        failure of the Internet at a hub city or an equally important backbone 
        link. "We simulated the failure of four things: complete loss of a node, 
        or city; loss of a backbone [provider]; loss of a single network node; 
        loss of selected backbone links," said Grubesic.
 
 If an entire hub were knocked out, service to the city in question would 
        be impossible for any backbone. This is a fairly improbable scenario, 
        especially because providers tend to maintain multiple connections in 
        large cities, according to Grubesic. It is a vulnerability, however.
 
 In one portion of the results, the researchers simulated the availability 
        of the network of one provider -- Multacom -- after a complete node failure.
 
 The city of Washington is the most accessible node on the Multacom network. 
        The researchers showed that if all connections into Tampa failed, Washington 
        would lose access to Tampa plus one other city -- Miami. However, if all 
        connections to New York failed, the ramifications for Washington would 
        be much greater; Washington would lose access to New York, Chicago, Denver, 
        San Jose, Portland and Seattle, according to Grubesic.
 
 Worse, the simulation showed that if Atlanta, the most important node 
        on the Multacom backbone, lost all its connections, Multacom communications 
        would cease between Dallas, Los Angeles, Miami and Tampa and 10 other 
        cities each, and between Chicago, Denver, New York, Portland, San Jose, 
        Seattle and Washington and five other cities each.
 
 This scenario is particularly problematic for spoke cities, which rely 
        on the nearest hub.
 
 The second scenario, the loss of a backbone provider, would leave cities 
        serviced by a single provider completely without Internet service. Spoke 
        cities would again be hard hit, according to Grubesic.
 
 The third possibility, failure of a single network node within a city, 
        is a smaller problem. Although this eliminates service to that node from 
        a single provider, other backbones will remain, allowing traffic to continue, 
        according to Grubesic.
 
 But even a single network node failure would be problematic for spoke 
        cities, because it effectively eliminates the delivery of all traffic 
        destined for the node in question, said Grubesic. The large hubs, and 
        cities served by several providers would do much better because they can 
        reroute traffic.
 
 In the fourth scenario, where select links in a network are severed, isolated 
        nodes would lose service, but nodes that connect to more than one backbone 
        would remain functional.
 
 The methodology can also be applied to other types of networks, including 
        critical infrastructure networks like electric, gas and oil, said Grubesic.
 
 Two of the challenges in carrying out the study were creating code that 
        simultaneously simulated node and link failure for a geographic information 
        system, and developing intuitive ways to interpret the results, Grubesic 
        said.
 
 The researchers' analysis methods can be applied now to the Internet and 
        other types of networks, said Grubesic. "One of our primary goals... was 
        to provide a clear and understandable methodology for estimating the spatial 
        impacts of node link failure for the Internet. This methodology can be 
        revisited, duplicated and perhaps improved by other research teams interested 
        in questions of Internet survivability," he said.
 
 Grubesic's research colleagues were Morton E. O'Kelly and Alan T. Murray. 
        The results are slated to be published in the February, 2003 issue of 
        Telematics and Informatics. The research was funded by the National Science 
        Foundation.
 
 Timeline:   Now
 Funding:   Government
 TRN Categories:   Internet; Computers and Society
 Story Type:   News
 Related Elements:  Technical paper, "A Geographic Perspective 
        on Commercial Internet Survivability," Telematics and Informatics, February, 
        2003.
 
 
 
 
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 | January 
      1/8, 2003
 
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